New Zealand Dollar Analysis

  • May 10, 2021 2:16 AM PDT
    Asia-Pacific markets may see an upbeat trading day despite a mixed
    performance on Wall Street overnight when technology and small-cap
    stocks moved lower. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index dropped 0.30% while
    the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained 0.29%, a new record high.
    The US Dollar was mostly unchanged, while Treasuries caught a bid
    across the curve from bond traders.To get more news about [url=https://www.wikifx.com/za_en/dealer/0001473583.html]WikiFX[/url], you can visit wikifx.com official website.



      Speaking on a CNBC interview Wednesday, Federal Reserve Vice Chair
    Richard Clarida said “we‘re not there yet” when asked about whether or
    not it’s time to start discussing tapering. However, the Vice Chair did
    note that he expects the economy to grow rapidly this year and will
    continue to evaluate economic data as it comes in.



      Mr. Clarida, along with other Fed speakers Wednesday, harped on the
    transitory outlook for inflation. However, inflation expectations rose
    to multi-year highs, evidenced through the 5- and 10-year breakeven
    inflation rate – which measures inflation expectations through the
    Treasury constant maturity and inflation-indexed Treasury rates.Speaking
    of economic data, New Zealand reported building permits data for March,
    showing a 17.9%rise for March compared to last month‘s revised read of
    -19.3%, according to the DailyFX Economic Calendar. The New Zealand
    Dollar continued its move higher overnight after yesterday’s stellar
    jobs report – which showed the Q1 unemployment rate falling to 4.6% --
    injected fresh optimism in the Kiwi Dollar. The upbeat building permits
    print may extend NZDs strength in the coming days.



      The risk-sensitive Australian Dollar is also aiming higher after a
    better-than-expected March building permits figure showing a 17.4%
    increase on a month-over-month basis. AUD/USD gained nearly half a
    percentage point overnight. The RBA statement on monetary policy will be
    released later this week, a potentially high-impact event that may
    drive direction in the Aussie Dollar.



      Still, the most pertinent market event this week concerning market
    sentiment, and therefore to the Australian Dollar and New Zealand
    Dollar, will be the US non-farm payrolls report, with the DailyFX
    Economic Calendar showing a consensus forecast of +978k jobs for April.
    Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will publish its monetary policy
    meeting minutes today.



    NZD/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

      NZD/USD gained near a full percentage point overnight and now appears
    to be tracking higher/lower following todays economic data print. The
    next obstacle standing ahead of the Kiwi Dollar appears to be the 23.6%
    Fibonacci retracement level. Alternatively, a reversal lower would see
    prices find possible support at the 38.2% Fib level and then the 20-day
    and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA).