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Two Trades To Watch: Gold, USD/CAD

  • April 20, 2021
    Gold is edging higher on Thursday, clawing back yesterdays losses,
    when gold bulls failed to capitalise on US Dollar weakness.To get more
    news about WikiFX, you can visit official website.

      The precious metal trades within a familiar range and awaits US retail sales for a potential breakout.

      Expectations are for a blowout 6.3% jump in sales in March rebounding from -3.5% decline in February.

      Where next for the Gold price?

      Gold trades at the high of the day, having pushed over the 50 EMA on the 4 hour chart and is testing the 200 EMA .

      Gold continues to trade within its monthly symmetrical triangle.
    The fact that it remains above the midway point in the triangle to
    supportive to a bullish setup.

      For the recovery to continue, gold bulls need to break above the
    200 EMA and horizontal support at 1742 before attacking 1747 the upper
    side of the triangle. Beyond here gold buyers could look towards the
    monthly high of 1760.

      On the flip side, sellers could encounter support at the 50 EMA
    which coincides with the mid-point of the triangle at 1737. A downside
    break below the lower triangle support line at 1730 could spark a deeper
    selloff to 1725 the weekly low and 1706 the monthly low.

    The pair trades below its descending trendline, its 20 EMA and 50 EMA on
    the daily chart, indicating an established bearish trend.

      Whilst the move lower appears to be running out of momentum, the RSI does still indicate further losses could be had.

      Bears need to break meaningfully below 1.25 round figure for a deeper selloff towards 1.2450 and 1.2365 the post pandemic low.

      Any recovery would need to take the 20 EMA at 1.2550 and the 50 EMA at 1.26. A move above here could negate the bearish trend.